Let's Do This

In 7 and a half hours, the polls will open here in Kentucky. Barrack Obama isn't going to win this state, it won't even be close, but he will carry my hometown Louisville. Kentucky has 120 counties and I'll go out on a limb and say that Obama will only win two of them, Fayette (Lexington) and Jefferson (Louisville). Jefferson County has a bit over 700,000 people while Fayette is around 250,000 , so both will deliver some substantial votes to Obama but alas, it just won't be enough. He'll do well here and the large African-American turnout will help Senate candidate Bruce Lunsford in his quest to unseat the horrible Mitch McConnell. It will also send my local representative, John Yarmuth, to a comfortable win over Anne Northup.

Anyways, most people have made up their minds, if they haven't, they have no right to vote. Never in my lifetime have we had two candidates so polar opposite of the other. If you can't make up your mind about this race, well, you are an idiot and I hereby revoke your right to vote. With that being said, here are my final predictions for the election:

President

Obama wins the national vote: 53%-47%

Obama wins the electoral college: 356-182

Obama wins the following states: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Mass., Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, District of Columbia, Rhode Island, Delaware, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Montana, Nevada, California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii.

McCain wins the rest.

Senate: Democrats will have 57 seats, Republicans will have 40 seats, 2 Independents and the 1 runoff.

The following races are in play: Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon and Virginia.

Democrats win the following: Alaska (Begich), Colorado (Udall), Minnesota (Franken), New Hampshire (Shaheen), New Mexico (Udall) North Carolina (Hagan), Oregon (Merkley) and Virginia (Warner). We'll lose Georgia but it will be close and as a result, we'll have a runoff.

House

Democrats 269, Republicans 166

Kentucky 03- Democrat John Yarmuth 57%- Republican Anne Northup 43%.

3 comments:

JC | November 4, 2008 at 12:07 PM

If Obama wins, Biden will be foreced to give up his Senate seat. I believe Delaware has a Republican governor, so will he appoint a Republican to replace Biden?

Kelly | November 4, 2008 at 1:06 PM

Delaware in fact has a Democratic governor, her name is Ruth Ann Minner.

JC | November 5, 2008 at 12:02 PM

Should she appoint Bo Biden for the seat? Or do we want a hereditary democracy in this country?